Showing posts with label HP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HP. Show all posts

Monday, March 7, 2011

EMC lengthens its lead in disk array fray

March 7, 2011 – Despite impressive growth from some its arch rivals (most notably, NetApp) EMC appears to be widening the gap between itself and its collective competitors, according to a report on the disk systems market by IDC. The market research company recently issued statistics for the fourth quarter and full-year 2010, including market size, vendor shares and revenues.

EMC capped 2010 with a 25.6% market share on revenue of $5.44 billion in the external disk systems market. That compares to a 2009 market share of 22.9% on revenue of $4.1 billion.

Rounding out the top 5 in 2010 were IBM (13.8% share, down slightly from a 14.3% slice the previous year), NetApp and HP (tied with 11.1% market shares) and Dell (9.1% share on 2010 revenue of almost $2 billion).

EMC posted impressive 2009—2010 revenue growth of 32.5%, but that was overshadowed by NetApp’s whopping 49.5% revenue growth. NetApp raked in $2.35 billion in 2010, vs. $1.57 billion in 2009.

Going forward, it will be interesting to see how HP’s acquisition of 3PAR, EMC's acquisition of Isilon, and Dell’s acquisition of Compellent will alter the market share dynamics and revenues.

Conspicuously absent from the top 5 in 2010 was Hitachi Data Systems. However, HDS did claw its way into the top 5 in the fourth quarter of 2010, ending the quarter in a virtual tie with Dell for the last spot. HDS garnered an 8.7% share in 4Q10 on revenue of $533 million vs. Dell’s 7.9% share on revenue of $483 million.

In the fourth quarter, EMC pulled in $1.58 billion for a 26% market share. That compares to a share of 23.9% in 4Q 2009 ($1.25 billion in revenue).

However, NetApp’s surge was again apparent in the fourth quarter of 2010. The company posted year-over-year revenue growth of 43.7% (vs. 26.3% for EMC), and closed the gap with HP on revenue of $630 million vs. HP’s $704 million.

Last year was a good one for the external disk systems market, which grew by 18.3% to top $21 billion.

Breaking down 4Q10 by market segments: the NAS market grew 41.3% year over year. EMC was #1 in NAS, followed by NetApp at 23.7%.

The iSCSI market posted equally impressive gains, growing 42.1% in 4Q10 vs. 4Q09. Dell was #1 in the iSCSI space with a 32.6% share, followed by HP (14.7%) and EMC (13.4%).

One more fun fact: EMC has been #1 in the external disk systems market for 14 consecutive years.

For more details, see IDC’s press release: “Worldwide Disk Storage Systems Finishes 2010 with Double-Digit Growth on Strong Fourth Quarter Results.”

Sunday, January 2, 2011

The Top Ten Storage Acquisitions of 2010

January 3, 2011 -- I originally posted a Top Ten acquisitions list in September, under the assumption that after the blockbuster HP-3PAR buyout we may have seen the last of the big storage acquisitions for the year. Wrong. The storage industry capped a crazy year of M&A fever with the EMC-Isilon and Dell-Compellent acquisitions. With those additions, I had to knock off from the list a few of the relatively minor acquisitions of the year, including SolarWinds’ acquisition of Tek-Tools and Exar’s buyout of Neterion.
Here's my revised list of the Top 10 storage acquisitions of 2010, in ascending order:

#10: PMC-SIERRA – ADAPTEC

Throughout the 1990s, Adaptec was synonymous with SCSI, and had a lock on the SCSI controller/adapter market. The company reached its heyday when it racked up revenues of about $800 million in fiscal 2000. But Adaptec didn’t see the winds of change blowing.

PMC-Sierra acquired Adaptec this summer for a mere $34 million.

In addition to Adaptec’s technology and products, PMC acquired Adaptec’s extensive channel, where it is still strong in RAID adapters.

PMC-Sierra’s acquisition of Adaptec puts the company in even more intense competition with arch enemy LSI. Now PMC will compete in the channel with LSI at the board level, whereas previously the battle was fought primarily on the semiconductor front.

Related articles:
PMC-Sierra to buy Adaptec’s channel storage business
PMC-Sierra ships 6Gbps SAS controllers

#9: NETAPP – BYCAST

The terms of the NetApp-Bycast deal were not disclosed. According to our original article on the acquisition: “NetApp is advancing its efforts in the cloud storage market with the acquisition of Bycast, a developer of object-based storage virtualization software that turns multiple storage devices across geographically-dispersed locations into a single pool for storing fixed content data.”

See “NetApp to acquire Bycast for cloud storage software”

NetApp plans to leverage Bycast technology to go after markets such as digital media, Web 2.0, healthcare, and cloud services providers.

Bycast’s flagship product is its StorageGRID virtualization software. It will be interesting to see what happens to some of Bycast’s existing OEM deals, which include partnerships with IBM and HP.

#8: EMULEX – SERVERENGINES

Prior to acquiring ServerEngines, Emulex was in a dicey position: The company licensed critical technology, including 10GbE ASICs, from ServerEngines and that technology was key to Emulex’s (at the time) risky gamble of betting the farm on 10GbE (and going head-to-head with Ethernet giants Broadcom and Intel, in addition to long-time rival QLogic and others).

The position was dicey because a competitor could scoop up ServerEngines, thus pulling the rug from underneath Emulex’s strategy. Emulex paid a high price for ServerEngines, but there wasn’t any choice.

According to our original article on the acquisition: “Emulex will acquire ServerEngines for $78 million in cash and eight million shares of Emulex stock. Based on Emulex’s closing price of $10.11 last week, those eight million shares would translate into an additional $81 million, bringing the total to almost $160 million.”

But wait, there’s more: “In addition, Emulex will issue four million shares of stock if ServerEngines meets certain business objectives by the end of 2011. Emulex also agreed to assume ServerEngines’ debt, which is currently $25 million. As such, the deal could eventually exceed $200 million.”

See “Emulex to acquire ServerEngines”

The bet, and the acquisition, seem to have paid off. Emulex has racked up a number of OEM design wins for its 10GbE/FCoE/iSCSI converged network adapters (CNAs), including Dell, EMC, HDS, HP, IBM and NetApp.

ServerEngines was founded in 2004 by former Broadcom engineers that were previously with ServerWorks, which was acquired by Broadcom in 2001. In early 2009, Broadcom launched an unsuccessful hostile takeover of Emulex.

#7: DELL – OCARINA

Rumored to be in the $150 million ballpark, Dell’s acquisition of Ocarina came as a surprise to almost everybody, and (along with #6, see below) confirmed that capacity optimization (data deduplication and/or compression) of primary storage is The Next Big Thing.

According to my original blog post on this acquisition (see “Dell to acquire Ocarina for data deduplication”): “Until the announcement of its embeddable, OEM version of its software, Ocarina was known primarily as a vendor of data reduction technology for primary storage. But the embeddable version is applicable across the storage spectrum, from primary storage to backup and archive.”

I think Dell will initially leverage Ocarina’s technology in image-intensive, fixed-content applications on primary storage. That space is where, so far, Ocarina has made its mark, with large wins at companies such as Kodak. Dell will probably continue to resell Symantec, CommVault and Data Domain software where those companies’ technologies make more sense, or where customers demand it.

And in a related Top 10 acquisition . . .

#6: IBM – STORWIZE

This one had been rumored for weeks before IBM made it official, so it ranks low on the surprise factor but high on the industry influence scale. Even more than the Dell-Ocarina deal, and even more than NetApp’s evangelizing, IBM’s acquisition of data compression specialist Storwize put data reduction for primary storage in a top spot among Hot Storage Technologies.

Rumors put this deal in the range of $140 million.

Storwize’s data reduction technology differs from some of its competitors in that it is in-line, real-time compression, as opposed to data deduplication.

It’s certainly not an understatement to say that being acquired by IBM was the smartest thing Storwize did since changing its name from Storwiz.

The Storwize product line is now part of the IBM Real-time Compression business unit.

See “IBM to Buy Storwize for Real-Time Data Compression” on InfoStor partner site Enterprise Storage Forum.

#5: VISION SOLUTIONS – DOUBLE-TAKE

This one ranked high on the surprise factor and it also ranked high in dollars, being valued at $242 million.

That amounted to about $10.55 per Double-Take share. Double-Take went public in 2006 at about $11 a share.

Prior to the Vision Solutions announcement, it was well known that Double-Take was on the block, with vendors such as Dell and HP considered to be potential acquirers.

Vision Solutions specializes in data protection software for IBM systems, while Double-Take’s strengths are in backup, replication, disaster recovery and high availability software, primarily for Microsoft platforms.

See “Vision Solutions to acquire Double-Take”

#4: EMC – GREENPLUM

I never did find out exactly what EMC paid for Greenplum, a data warehousing and analytics specialist, but my (questionable) sources tell me that the acquisition payment would easily put the deal near the top of this list.

Greenplum claims more than 100 customers, including NASDAQ OMX, NYSE Euronext, Skype, Equifax and T-Mobile.

In addition to its massively parallel processing (MPP) Greenplum Database, the company has Greenplum Chorus, a cloud platform for collaboration and data sharing. Greenplum became the foundation of a new division within EMC’s Information Infrastructure business.

Greenplum is a nice fit with EMC’s cloud initiatives, but it also heats up the competition between EMC, Oracle, IBM and Sun.

See “EMC acquires data warehousing vendor Greenplum”

#3: DELL – COMPELLENT

This one may not be a done deal, but it’s pretty close so Dell’s “take-under” acquisition of Compellent takes the #3 spot on our list. The latest offer is $27.75 per share, which translates into about $960 million, or $820 million net of Compellent’s cash.

In a sense, Compellent is a consolation prize after Dell lost the bidding war with HP over 3PAR. Acquiring 3PAR would have solidified Dell’s position in high-end disk arrays, but Compellent fills out Dell’s mid-range (and slightly high-end) positioning.

It will be interesting to see how Dell positions Compellent’s disk arrays relative to the EqualLogic product line (which grew 66% in revenues over the last year), but it will be even more interesting to see what happens to Dell’s EMC reseller agreement.

#2: EMC – ISILON

EMC shelled out around $2.25 billion for scale-out NAS vendor Isilon Systems, net of Isilon’s existing cash balance. That’s an eye-popping amount of cash, particularly considering that Isilon was barely profitable, but market researcher IDC predicts that the scale-out NAS market will grow on average about 36% annually, reaching an estimated $6 billion in 2014.

According to EMC’s press release on the announcement: “EMC’s Atmos and Isilon’s solutions will offer customers a highly scalable, low-cost storage infrastructure for managing ‘Big Data’ . . . EMC Atmos object storage provides the perfect complement to Isilon for massive globally distributed environments and object access to data for usages like Web 2.0 applications.”

EMC officials estimate that the combined revenue from the Isilon and Atmos platforms will hit a $1 billion run rate during the second half of 2012. EMC also emphasized synergies between Isilon’s clustered scale-out NAS platforms and systems/software from Greenplum.

Isilon wasn’t EMC’s only acquisition this year. The company bought Bus-Tech about a week prior to the Isilon announcement. Bus-Tech specializes in VTL technology for mainframe environments. The financial terms of the Bus-Tech acquisition were not disclosed.

See “EMC snaps up Isilon for $2.25 billion” on InfoStor partner site Enterprise Storage Forum.

#1: HP – 3PAR

By virtue of its price ($2.4 billion) and the drama of the bidding war with Dell (which started at $1.15 billion), HP’s acquisition of 3PAR was clearly the #1 storage acquisition of 2010.

The acquisition of 3PAR puts HP in a much better competitive position, but it will be interesting to see what happens to the rest of HP’s disk array lineup. Does the 3PAR acquisition sound the death knell for the venerable EVA line? And what will be the fate of HP’s reseller deal with Hitachi? Months after the acquisition was announced, we still have more questions than answers on this acquisition.

2010 wasn’t a record-setting year in terms of the number of storage acquisitions, but it certainly was a record setter in terms of the amount of money that was shelled out.

As we enter 2011, the big question is: Who will be acquired next? According to the financial analyst community, CommVault is the most likely storage vendor to be acquired, but other possibilities cited by financial analysts include (in no particular order) Xiotech, Brocade, BlueArc, FalconStor and NetApp.

Related article:

Top 10 Storage Predictions for 2011 (by Henry Newman, on Enterprise Storage Forum)

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

And the Top 6 storage software vendors are . . .

IDC recently released its Q3 2010 report on the storage software market, and there weren’t any changes on the leader board in terms of the top six vendors’ market shares in Q3 vs. Q2. EMC is still in the top spot with a 24.4% market share on revenue of $768 million in the third quarter.

Pure-play software vendor Symantec held on to its #2 ranking with a 16.5% share on revenue of $518 million, followed by IBM (13.4%) with revenue of $421 million and NetApp (8.4%) with $263 million.

The race is a bit tighter for fifth and sixth place, with CA (3.3%) pulling in $104 million and edging out #6 HP (3.2%, $99 million).

As was the case in the disk array market in the third quarter, the real winner appears to be NetApp, which experienced a growth rate of 19.8% in Q3 2010 vs. Q3 2009. EMC had the second highest growth rate at 13.9%. HP was the only vendor to have negative growth (-9.4%).

The overall storage software market racked up $3.1 billion in revenue, for a growth rate of 8.7% over the same quarter a year ago and a 6.3% boost over the previous quarter, according to Laura DuBois, IDC’s program vice president, storage software.

In terms of storage market segment growth, the top three were storage infrastructure (+37.3% year-over-year), archiving (+12%) and data protection and recovery (+10.7%).

DuBois notes that the big boost in storage infrastructure can be attributed largely to increased spending on automated storage tiering. Other segments of the storage software market include replication, storage management, device management, and file systems.

For more info, see IDC’s press release: “Storage Software Market Continues on Its Growth Trajectory in the Third Quarter”

Related blog post: “Disk arrays: NetApp, HP duke it out for #3 spot”

Friday, December 3, 2010

Disk arrays: NetApp, HP duke it out for #3 spot

December 3, 2010 – In more good news for the rebounding storage industry, revenues from external disk systems grew 19% in Q3 2010 vs. Q3 2009, topping the $5 billion mark, according to a report from IDC. Revenues for the total (external and internal) disk systems market grew to almost $7 billion, representing an 18.5% year-over-year growth rate.

Total capacity shipped grew 65.2%.

In the external array market, EMC held on to its #1 spot by a wide margin, with $1.35 billion in Q3 revenue and a 26.1% market share. IBM was a distant second with $667 million in revenue and a 12.9% market share.

But the real race is for the #3 position, where NetApp and HP are in a virtual dead heat. (Even dead heats are virtual these days.) NetApp had an 11.6% market share in Q3, followed closely by HP with an 11.1% slice. IDC considers it to be a statistical tie when less than a one percent revenue difference separates two vendors.

Dell finished fifth, with a 9.1% market share on revenue of $471 million.

All of the top five vendors had healthy, double-digit revenue growth (ranging from 11.3% for HP to 28.3% for EMC), but it was NetApp that busted the charts with a whopping 54.9% growth rate.

Looking at the leader board trends over the past few quarters, it would seem safe to say that NetApp has blown past HP and is closing in on Big Blue, except for HP’s 3PAR acquisition. With HP’s marketing muscle behind the 3PAR product line, revenue could crank up pretty quickly. For now, however, 3PAR had a market share of only 0.83% in the third quarter. (Isilon’s slice was 0.75%.)

Other highlights from the IDC report: The NAS market was the fastest-growing segment of the overall storage systems market, posting 49.8% growth in Q3 2010 vs. Q3 2009. EMC led the NAS market with a 46.6% share, followed by NetApp with a 28.9% share.

The iSCSI segment of the overall market also did well, posting 41.4% revenue growth, with Dell/EqualLogic in the top spot (33.8% share) followed by EMC and HP in a tie for second place.

For more details, read the IDC press release: “External Disk Storage Systems Market Records Fourth-Highest Quarterly Revenue in Third Quarter”

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

The Top 6 storage software vendors

September 16, 2010 -- There hasn't been much change over the last year in terms of market shares for the Top 6 storage software vendors.

IDC recently released its quarterly report on the market, and EMC held on to its #1 ranking with a 24.4% market share on Q2 2010 revenue of $722 million, followed by Symantec at #2 (16.5% share, $488 in revenue), #3 IBM (13.9%, $410 million) and #4 NetApp (8.7%, $256 million).

Rounding out the Top 6 were CA and HP in a statistical tie. CA had a 3.6% market share on revenue of $108 million, and HP had a 3.3% share with revenue of $97 million. The only change in the lineup between Q2 2010 and Q2 2009 was a switch in positions between CA and HP.

In terms of revenue growth over the last 12 months, there were four gainers and two losers. Gainers included EMC (+13.3%), IBM (+10.6%), NetApp (+6%) and CA (+2%). Symantec (-6.9%) and HP (-10.3%) declined year-over-year.

Overall, the storage software market hit almost $3 billion in the second quarter, a 3.3% growth vs. the same period a year ago.

IDC segments the storage software market into eight product categories. Of those, the segments experiencing the most growth over the last year included storage infrastructure (+12.7%), archiving (+8.2%), storage management (+5.8%), and data protection and recovery (+4.9%).

For more details, see IDC's press release, "Storage Software Market Delivers Continued Growth in the Second Quarter."

Related blog post:
The Top 5 array vendors: HP #4, Dell #5

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

The Top 5 array vendors: HP #4, Dell #5

September 9, 2010 -- Against the backdrop of the HP-Dell-3PAR drama (which, in case you were in a coma, ended with HP victorious in its $2.4 billion buyout of 3PAR), IDC recently released its quarterly report on the disk systems market.

For the second quarter of this year, EMC retained its #1 ranking in the external disk systems space with almost twice the market share of #2 IBM. On Q2 revenue of almost $1.3 billion, EMC held a 25.7% market share compared to IBM's 13.6% slice on revenue of $680 million.

NetApp was #3 with an 11.4% share on revenue of $571 million, followed very closely by HP with an 11.3% share on revenue of $567 million (which is essentially a dead heat between the two vendors).

Rounding out the Top 5 was Dell, with a 9.4% share and revenue of $472 million.

Liz Conner, IDC's senior research analyst, storage systems, estimates 3PAR's share of the market at 0.58%.

Depending on how quickly HP can ramp the 3PAR revenue stream, it won't be long before HP is firmly in the #3 spot, followed by NetApp at #4.

Or maybe not. In terms of revenue growth in 2Q10 vs. 2Q09, NetApp was the big gainer, with an impressive 55.3% revenue growth rate, followed by EMC with a 40.6% growth rate. HP only had 20.9% growth year-over-year, and Dell posted a 17% increase. IBM was the laggard at 10.9%.

The "others" category in the external disk array market continues to decline. In 2Q09, "others" accounted for 33.5% of the market ($1.6 billion in revenue), but in 2Q10 that share slipped to 28.6% ($1.4 billion). So the "others" market share is approximately the same as EMC's share.

That stat will no doubt throw more fuel on the speculation fire regarding which disk array vendor(s) will be acquired next (e.g., Compellent, Isilon, Pillar, Xiotech, etc.).

If you add up all (external + internal) storage systems revenue, the market share rankings shift: HP (19.3%), EMC (19%), IBM (15.8%), Dell (12.3%), NetApp (8.4%).

The NAS and iSCSI SAN sectors continue to rack up impressive growth figures. The combined NAS+iSCSI market grew 29.2% year-over-year in the second quarter, to $4.2 billion. EMC had a 28.9% share, followed by NetApp at 13.6%.

The NAS market posted 51.1% growth year-over-year, with EMC taking a 45.6% share followed by NetApp with 25.2%.

And the iSCSI SAN market grew 49%, with Dell in the lead with a 32.9% slice, followed by HP, NetApp and EMC in a statistical tie for second place.

Overall, the external disk storage market grew 20.4%, topping $5 billion in the second quarter.

For more details, see IDC's press release: "Disk Storage Systems Market Sustains Strong Double-Digit Growth Across All Sectors in Second Quarter."

Thursday, August 26, 2010

HP to get 3PAR for $2.4 billion

September 2, 2010 -- The fat lady seems to have sung. Dell exited the 3PAR acquisition stage with the following statement by Dave Johnson, Dell's senior vice president, corporate strategy: "We took a measured approach throughout the process and have decided to end these discussions."

After what appears to be a lot of under-the-covers negotiations, HP ended the drama with a $33-per-share, $2.4-billion acquisition offer (see "Dell Ends 3PAR Talks After HP's $2.4 Billion Bid" on Enterprise Storage Forum).

After what we've seen over the past couple weeks, I'm hesitant to call this a done deal, but that appears to be the case.

So HP gets 3PAR's crown jewels of virtualization, cloud computing capabilities, storage/data tiering and thin provisioning (not to mention ASIC technology). The question now is: How will HP fold 3PAR's systems into its existing disk array lineup? 3PAR overlaps big time with HP's venerable EVA line, and to a lesser degree with the high-end systems that HP OEMs from Hitachi Data Systems. Something has to give, although it will probably be awhile until HP provides details.

For Dell, the question is: Now what? Many observers have speculated that Dell will go after another disk array vendor (Compellent, Isilon, Xiotech?), but none of those companies are a replacement for what Dell had in mind with the 3PAR bid. Maybe Dell will turn to networking (Brocade?). Or software (CommVault?).

Dell put its cards on the table, and finally folded. For now. Which table will it sit down to next?

In a side show next to the three-ring HP-Dell-3PAR circus, litigious Crossroads Systems yesterday filed a patent infringement lawsuit against 3PAR and, according to an article on PC World, D-Link, Rorke Data, Chelsio Communications, DataCore Software, iStor Networks and American Megatrends. According to that article (see "3Par Faces Lawsuit as Bidding War Continues"), the suit involves a patent for a storage router that provides virtual local storage on remote storage devices.

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

HP, Dell, 3PAR: Bidding war or done deal?

August 24, 2010 – We should probably just let this drama play out and then comment on it, but who can resist? As the storage world waits for Dell’s response to HP’s $1.6 billion counter-offer for 3PAR, I thought I’d take a stab at some of the questions that are being bandied about.

Will Dell counter? At first, I thought this was a done deal for HP. In an acquisition context, a 33% raise leads to an opponent folding. Then again, maybe this “I’ll see your $1.15 billion and raise you $450 million” is just these guys anteing up. This pot could get close to, or exceed, $2 billion.

Yes, I think Dell will counter, but I don’t think it would be wise. And the reason for that leads me to the next question.

Is 3PAR better for HP or Dell? I think it’s better for HP, but this is highly arguable.

HP has a solid high-end lineup with the HDS OEM deal, but I doubt that HP’s Dave Donatelli (formerly with EMC) is a reseller type of guy. 3PAR gives HP its own technology, and possibly a better weapon against EMC. The question would then be: What would HP do with the HDS line? And if HP follows Oracle’s suit on that, What becomes of HDS? (HP execs said that they would continue with the HDS partnership, business as usual.)

HP knows how to sell really high-end gear, which can’t be said about Dell. Plus, if Dell winds up acquiring 3PAR it would have to then follow up with a string of risky, blockbuster acquisitions to really own the IT stack. And even Dell’s war chest would be seriously depleted after a long series of billion dollar acquisitions.

If this deal pushes upward of $2 billion, there would be a lot of pressure on Dell to prove that it can play in the IT stratosphere, which is questionable. Dell obviously had a lot of success with the EqualLogic acquisition, but instead of going right to the very high end with 3PAR (and thus going head-to-head with EMC), it seems like a stepping-stone approach might have made better sense (e.g., acquiring BlueArc or Compellent or Isilon or Xiotech, etc.)

Will other suitors jump in? Doubtful. The only possibilities are IBM, EMC, NetApp or Oracle, and of those only Oracle is rich enough and nuts enough (see “Who will Oracle acquire next?” ). If Oracle wants another storage product line, my money is on (and Larry’s money is in) Pillar Data.

If IBM or EMC made a move for 3PAR it would (a) be admitting that their existing high-end arrays aren’t up to snuff and (b) create too much confusion among customers and overlap in product lines. For $1.6 billion+, there are much better acquisitions for IBM or EMC to make.

NetApp could probably afford 3PAR, but does NetApp really want to get into another big-time bidding war? Been there, done that.

I think we’re in for a bidding war, but there will only be two players at the table.

Related blog post:
HP’s bid for 3PAR not its first

Recommended blog: Stephen Foskett’s “Everyone Loves 3Par: Here’s Why”

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Disk array SmackDown: NetApp vs. IBM, Dell vs. HP

June 9, 2010 – In the external disk array market, it’s surprising how little changes in terms of the top five vendors’ market shares quarter-to-quarter or even year-to-year. The leading vendors almost always occupy the same rungs on the ladder. However, based on IDC’s Q1 2010 stats, market shares appear to be shifting.

Of course, EMC held on to its #1 spot in the first quarter with a 24.6% market share on revenue of $1.22 billion. But the rest of the race is tightening.

For example, for the first time NetApp pulled into a virtual dead heat with IBM for the #2 spot in the external disk systems market. IBM had an 11.7% market share, while NetApp had an 11.1% share. Statistically, IDC considers that to be a tie. Compared to Q1 2009, IBM slipped 0.5% in terms of market share while NetApp gained 2.3 points, leapfrogging both Dell and HP, which were in the #3 and #4 spots in the previous quarter.

If NetApp’s ascendancy continues at this clip, the company could eclipse Big Blue. And if NetApp’s first quarter and year-end earnings are any indication (see “NetApp wows Wall Street, doubles quarterly profits”), I think they will.

Rounding out the top five, HP slipped a bit in the first quarter, to a 10.2% market share, followed closely by Dell with a 10.1% share. Dead heat. And I predict that Dell will overtake HP in the next quarter because the revenue differential between the two was only $6 million in the first quarter ($506 million vs. $500 million).

Hitachi Data Systems and Oracle/Sun failed to crack the top five.

NetApp also gained market share in the NAS arena over the last quarter with a 26.9% share (vs. 20.2% in the last quarter), coming in second to EMC’s 45.1% market share (down from a 50.5% chunk in the last quarter).

Overall, the NAS market grew a whopping 44.6% year-over-year.

Equally impressive, the iSCSI SAN market posted 45.7% revenue growth in Q1 2010 vs. Q1 2009. Dell led the iSCSI market with a 36.9% revenue share, followed by NetApp with a 14.4% slice.

For IDC’s press release and more stats, see “Disk Storage Systems Market Rebounds to Double-Digit Growth Across All Segments in First Quarter.”

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Solid storage growth in HP’s Q2 report

May 19, 2010 – Storage wasn’t the brightest spot in HP’s fiscal Q2 earnings report yesterday, but it was far from the darkest spot. In fact, there weren’t any dark spots.

The only laggards were software (down 1% from last year) and services (which grew only 2% from the previous year, to $8.7 billion).

Overall, HP (NYSE: HPQ) posted revenue for the second quarter of $30.8 billion, up 13% over the same quarter last year. Net earnings were $2.2 billion for the quarter, an increase of 28% from fiscal Q2 2009.

It’s difficult to put context on earnings these days because of the relative macro economic conditions today vs. a year ago, but by anyone’s estimates this was a stellar performance by HP in a still-tough climate.

In fact, it prompted The Motley Fool to pen a column comparing HP to IBM (see “HP is the New Big Blue”).

Unfortunately, HP does not get real granular in breaking down its product lines, but the Enterprise Storage and Server segment racked up $4.5 billion in total revenue, up 31% over the previous year. That segment was led by Industry Standard Server revenue, which increased 54%, while the Storage segment revenue increased a solid 16%, with the EVA product line up 3%.

Operating profit for the Enterprise Storage and Servers segment was $571 million (12.6% of revenue), which was up from $250 million (7.2% of revenue) in Q2 2009.

HP is clearly a bellwether for the overall IT industry, although not so much for the storage sector. However, NetApp and Brocade are bellwethers for the storage industry. Brocade (NSDQ: BRCD) will report results for its fiscal second quarter after the market closes tomorrow (Thurs., May 20), and NetApp (NSDQ: NTAP) will announce results for its fiscal fourth quarter next week (Wed., May 26).

Stay tuned to see if you’re in the right business or not as the market turns.

For comments on the results from Brocade’s and NetApp’s previous quarter earnings report, see my blog posts:
Brocade’s earnings a mixed bag
NetApp hit$ a home run

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Who are the top 5 array vendors?

March 11, 2010 – Market researcher IDC recently released its Worldwide Quarterly Disk Storage Systems Tracker report, which provides revenue statistics for the external and internal disk array markets, as well as vendors’ market shares.

Although it’s no surprise that 2009 wasn’t the best year for disk array vendors, the market did end the year on a high note. Fourth quarter revenues for the total (external and internal disk systems) market accounted for almost 30% of the full year’s revenues, and represented the first year-over-year growth since the third quarter of 2008, according to Liz Conner, IDC’s senior research analyst, storage systems.

Q4 revenues were $7.273 billion, up slightly from $7.26 billion in Q4 2008. Total revenues for 2009 were almost $24.5 billion, compared to $27.8 billion in 2008.

There were no surprises on the leader board. Racking up 2009 revenues of $4.1 billion in the external disk systems market alone, EMC earned its 800-pound-gorilla epithet by being #1 by a long shot. EMC grabbed a 22.7% market share, trailed by IBM (14.2%), HP (11.7%), Dell (9.1%) and NetApp (8.6%).

Looking at the total (external plus internal) disk systems market, the numbers slide toward server vendors HP and IBM. With $4.5 billion in revenues, HP earned the #1 spot with an 18.4% market share, followed by IBM (16.9%), EMC (16.8%), Dell (11.4%) and NetApp (6.4%).

Those rankings were pretty much expected, but what struck me as weird was that there was virtually no change in those vendor’s market shares between 2008 and 2009. In each case, there was less than a 1% difference, despite all the high-stakes battling in this high-margin market.

When you slice the disk systems market into segments, there were a few mild surprises.

For example, EMC led the NAS market with a 50.5% share, followed by NetApp with a 20.2% share. I had no idea the gap between the two was that large, but NetApp must be making up for it in other areas (see “NetApp hit$ a home run” ). The NAS market grew a respectable 12.6% year-over-year, and now accounts for about 20% of the entire external disk storage systems market.

But if EMC and NetApp are hogging more than 70% of the NAS market, that doesn’t leave many scraps for the hordes of other NAS vendors.

The iSCSI SAN array market posted a very impressive 30% revenue growth in Q4 vs. the same period a year ago. Dell led the iSCSI market with a 31.5% slice of the revenues (maybe EqualLogic was worth $1.4 billion), followed by EMC with a 15.7% cut. Again, a little surprising because I would have guessed NetApp was in the #2 position.

You may have noticed that Hitachi Data Systems does not show up in the top five anything in the IDC report. That’s because IDC does not include OEM sales in its tracking. As such, HDS sales revenues do not reflect their OEM sales to HP, nor to Sun -- a partnership that’s set to expire on March 31.
See Kevin Komiega’s new story, Oracle-Sun ends HDS partnership
and my blog post, Who wins/loses in the Oracle-HDS breakup?

And you can read the full IDC press release here.

Monday, October 12, 2009

Brocade on the block

October 12, 2009 – The rumors are swirling that Brocade has quietly put itself up for sale, and the buzz will probably pick up at the Storage Networking World show in Phoenix this week. It all started with an article in the Wall Street Journal, “Network Specialist Brocade Up for Sale."

I don’t think Brocade will be acquired, at least not in the next year. The company’s in great shape from a financial and market-share perspective, and its value will continue to grow. Why sell now?

When these acquisition rumors start flying, I like to check out what the financial analysts have to say. And two of my favorites are Paul Mansky at Canaccord/Adams and Glenn Hanus (and colleagues) at Needham & Company. Both analysts focus on the storage industry.

Here’s a clip from Paul Mansky’s notes on the subject:

“We agree Brocade boasts strong strategic positioning . . . but we take issue with the prevailing argument the company is a near-term acquisition target. The independent OEM-centric business model is central to the company's ability to maintain its storage footprint during the pending protocol transitions, while the ‘anybody but Cisco’ story in Ethernet switching has not even begun to ramp. Ownership by a single OEM would hasten the demise of Fibre Channel (60% of revs) while limiting the Ethernet switch TAM expansion story. In our view, a sale today is like punting on second down.”

Or tossing a Hail May on first possession, first down.

More Mansky:”To the degree that there is an appetite to flesh out or build Ethernet switch product lines or gain access to closely held Fibre Channel technology, we view there to be several less expensive candidates. In Ethernet switching, this would include 3Com, Extreme and Force10. In Fibre Channel, we view QLogic as an eager seller of its switching product line -- possibly for as little as $300-350 million.”

I agree: There are much cheaper ways to get what Brocade has to offer, even if it means acquiring two companies.

Speculation centers on HP and Oracle as the most likely acquirers, but Needham’s Hanus puts a number of other vendors in the potential mix, including an “A” list of HP, IBM and Juniper, with Oracle and Dell as remote possibilities.

Commenting on the most likely suitor, Hanus (with colleagues Rich Kugele and Greg Mesniaeff) writes:

“Historically, HP has had a strong relationship with BRCD in the fibre channel arena. It is speculated that HP will eventually at least resell/OEM BRCD's Foundry related gear as HP defends itself against Cisco getting into the server space and resells less Cisco IP networking gear. HP has its Procurve switch line as well. If BRCD were to get acquired by IBM, it would be a big problem for HP as BRCD has 70% or so of the fibre channel switch market. Cisco is the distant #2 player with Qlogic #3. Obviously, HP does not want to source FC switching from IBM or Cisco. If HP owned it, a challenge could be some reduction in BRCD revenue base as HP competitors IBM/Dell (current large BRCD partners) would try and move away. Also HP does not have a reputation for paying up for M&A targets. Overall though, we see HP as one of the leading contenders if BRCD decides to sell.”

I’ll be at the Storage Networking World conference for the next couple days, and if anything interesting happens – regarding Brocade or otherwise – I’ll let you know.